On Democratisation and Economic Conditions in Eastern Europe

The paper empirically investigates whether people’s attitude towards the progress in political transformation in Eastern Europe are influenced by economic factors. Thereby it addresses the question of independence between economic and political system. Using a large panel data set, containing about 68000 observations on individuals from 19 countries over 6 years, this question is analysed in the framework of an appropriately adjusted ordered logit model. It is found that both subjective and objective personal economic experiences, such as the development of the financial situation of the household or its position in the income distribution, as well as objective aggregate data, such as inflation or the private sector share, have a significant influence on people’s opinion with respect to progress in democratisation. Thus, studies on transition countries should take into account that there appear to be important spill-overs from people’s economic experience to their assessment of progress in transformation of the political system.